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NIGERIA, ANGOLA ACCOUNT FOR HALF OPEC’s OIL SUPPLY GAP

Almost half the shortfall in planned oil supply by the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies is down to Nigeria and Angola.

It reflects a number of factors which have combined to hobble crude production on the continent, including moves by Western oil majors away from African projects.

OPEC and its allies, known as OPEC+, pumped 1.45 million barrels per day (bpd), equal to 1.5 per cent of world supply – below its target in March, the OPEC+ figures showed.

According to the figures, Angola was responsible for almost 300,000 bpd of the OPEC+ supply shortfall, while Nigeria was pumping almost 400,000 bpd below target. The war in Ukraine has also hit Russia’s oil trading and its output was about 300,000 bpd short of its March supply target.

The OPEC+ shortfall is one of the reasons global oil prices hit a 14-year high in March above $139 a barrel and it has prompted calls by the United States and other consumers for producers to pump more.

But OPEC has repeatedly rebuffed the calls and one contributing factor is simply that some of its members don’t have oil available to pump.

In OPEC’s view, investment cuts after oil prices collapsed in 2015-2016, due to oversupply, along with a growing focus by investors on economic, social and governance (ESG) issues, have led to a shortfall in the spending needed to meet demand.

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